ImJustKen

0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344
ImJustKen
3011
148
0
$470,128.72
$25,551.29
-$8,026.21
$17,525.08
3.73%
0.00%
30m ago

Cumulative realized PnL · last 90 days

$0$6k$13k$19k$26kJan 30Mar 16Apr 29

By category

CategoryMarketsResolvedTradesVolumeRealizedUnrealizedTotal PnLWin rate
Uncategorized 148 0 3011 $470,128.72 $25,551.29 -$8,026.21 $17,525.08

By window

WindowTradesVolumeAvg tradeRealizedUnrealizedTotal PnLROIDrawdown
1d 64 $61,148.69 $955.45 $457.40 $0 $457.40 0.75%
7d 606 $352,790.19 $582.16 $23,191.66 $0 $23,191.66 6.57%
30d 3011 $470,128.72 $156.14 $25,551.29 $0 $25,551.29 5.44%
90d 3011 $470,128.72 $156.14 $25,551.29 -$8,026.21 $17,525.08 3.73%
all 3011 $470,128.72 $156.14 $25,551.29 -$8,026.21 $17,525.08 3.73%

Open positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg costMarkUnrealized
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? 1 108659.29 0.9724 0.9525 -$2,158.30
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0 65687.33 0.1010 0.1125 $755.40
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0 53928.64 0.0393 0.0405 $62.29
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? 0 49999.98 0.0010 0.0010 $0
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? 1 49999.98 0.9610 0.9610 $0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? 0 49999.97 0.1950 0.2050 $499.00
Will Trump visit China by April 30? 0 40976.27 0.0016 0.0015 -$4.51
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? 1 35943.04 0.4055 0.1050 -$10,799.77
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? 0 33398.24 0.0901 0.1015 $379.37
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? 0 28140.79 0.5736 0.6700 $2,712.32
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? 0 25000.00 0.6600 0.6650 $125
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? 1 19367.77 0.9460 0.9460 $0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? 0 16350.20 0.2700 0.2700 $0
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 0 16080.29 0.0342 0.0350 $13.41
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 0 14647.72 0.0345 0.0345 $0
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? 1 14396.31 0.1400 0.1400 $0
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? 0 11631.57 0.3800 0.3800 $0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? 0 11061.36 0.0371 0.0371 $0
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? 1 10268.90 0.7700 0.7700 $0
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? 0 10000.12 0.0859 0.0900 $40.69
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? 1 10000.00 0.9000 0.9000 $0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0 9912.32 0.1750 0.1895 $143.73
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? 0 7500.00 0.4300 0.4300 $0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? 1 7500.00 0.4500 0.4500 $0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? 0 7499.99 0.4000 0.4000 $0
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? 0 7499.99 0.4000 0.4000 $0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? 0 7499.97 0.5900 0.5900 $0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? 0 7499.92 0.1900 0.1900 $0
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? 1 5348.10 0.9100 0.9100 $0
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026? 1 5037.58 0.9988 0.9988 $0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? 0 5000.00 0.3200 0.3200 $0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 1 4637.27 0.6400 0.6650 $115.93
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? 0 4488.72 0.0220 0.0240 $8.98
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? 1 4263.00 0.9406 0.9480 $31.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? 1 4047.28 0.9610 0.9710 $40.47
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? 0 4000.00 0.0800 0.0800 $0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? 0 3742.93 0.2200 0.2200 $0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 1 3354.28 0.0700 0.0700 $0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026? 0 3271.29 0.9725 0.9725 $0
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? 0 3243.84 0.0500 0.0500 $0
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? 1 2645.91 0.9900 0.9900 $0
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? 0 2630.62 0.1150 0.1050 -$26.44
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? 1 2555.00 0.8100 0.8100 $0
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? 0 2410.95 0.5100 0.5100 $0
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? 1 2343.59 0.8953 0.9000 $10.95
Will Trump and Putin not meet? 0 2090.88 0.8980 0.8980 $0
No one announced as next James Bond? 0 2050.00 0.7100 0.7100 $0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0 1838.44 0.1800 0.1800 $0
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 0 1662.91 0.0150 0.0150 $0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? 1 1554.99 0.7500 0.7500 $0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? 0 1522.80 0.5400 0.5400 $0
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? 1 1500.00 0.9200 0.9200 $0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 202… 1 1500.00 0.8800 0.8800 $0
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? 0 1500.00 0.0200 0.0200 $0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? 1 1473.39 0.8500 0.8500 $0
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? 1 1398.42 0.9691 0.9691 $0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? 1 1183.91 0.6647 0.6800 $18.11
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? 1 1129.52 0.7973 0.7973 $0
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? 0 1010.16 0.0200 0.0200 $0
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11… 0 982.61 0.0510 0.0510 $0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Horm… 1 965.17 0.4000 0.4000 $0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0 926.91 0.0220 0.0220 $0
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? 1 907.06 0.4212 0.4212 $0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? 0 876.85 0.6700 0.6700 $0
Iran leadership change by December 31? 0 860.21 0.3900 0.3900 $0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? 1 822.78 0.6100 0.6100 $0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? 0 791.46 0.7286 0.7100 -$14.70
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)? 0 785.23 0.0350 0.0350 $0
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? 0 750.00 0.9310 0.9310 $0
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? 1 750.00 0.0550 0.0550 $0
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026? 1 750.00 0.9360 0.9360 $0
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1 710.56 0.6300 0.6300 $0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? 0 688.89 0.0250 0.0250 $0
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? 1 555.00 0.9150 0.9150 $0
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary? 1 555.00 0.0300 0.0300 $0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? 1 555.00 0.8900 0.8900 $0
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? 1 555.00 0.9000 0.9000 $0
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? 1 554.88 0.0700 0.0700 $0
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? 0 550.54 0.0127 0.0127 $0
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? 0 537.96 0.0600 0.0600 $0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? 0 529.12 0.9100 0.9100 $0
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? 1 524.12 0.9200 0.9200 $0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? 1 523.97 0.0600 0.0600 $0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? 1 519.94 0.8900 0.8900 $0
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? 0 515.77 0.9000 0.9000 $0
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? 0 500.00 0.1550 0.1500 -$2.50
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? 0 496.76 0.1700 0.1700 $0
James Norton announced as next James Bond? 1 475.91 0.9098 0.9098 $0
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? 1 464.38 0.0400 0.0400 $0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? 0 448.90 0.9100 0.9100 $0
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? 1 410.06 0.9100 0.9100 $0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? 0 409.75 0.9000 0.9000 $0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? 0 403.93 0.2000 0.2000 $0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? 1 400.00 0.0400 0.0400 $0
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? 0 391.72 0.0100 0.0100 $0
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? 0 381.26 0.0700 0.0700 $0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? 0 379.61 0.7600 0.7600 $0
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1 375.22 0.0800 0.0800 $0
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? 0 366.47 0.9300 0.9300 $0
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? 0 356.06 0.0500 0.0500 $0
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? 1 354.99 0.9100 0.9100 $0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 0 354.26 0.0600 0.0600 $0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? 1 329.70 0.0600 0.0600 $0
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN? 1 305.94 0.3100 0.3100 $0
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? 0 301.86 0.0500 0.0500 $0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? 0 283.11 0.9000 0.9000 $0
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? 0 277.27 0.0600 0.0600 $0
No one announced as next James Bond? 1 270.27 0.2600 0.2600 $0
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? 1 262.17 0.8200 0.8200 $0
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? 0 257.54 0.1200 0.1200 $0
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? 1 254.44 0.4237 0.5100 $21.96
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? 1 251.23 0.0600 0.0600 $0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? 1 250.00 0.2300 0.2300 $0
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? 0 241.50 0.9000 0.9000 $0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? 0 239.58 0.9200 0.9200 $0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? 0 236.50 0.9100 0.9100 $0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? 1 215.54 0.9000 0.9000 $0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? 0 210.09 0.9100 0.9100 $0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? 1 207.93 0.0700 0.0700 $0
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? 1 201.55 0.0500 0.0500 $0
Obama federally charged before 2027? 1 199.99 0.9010 0.9010 $0
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? 0 178.60 0.4500 0.4500 $0
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? 0 172.55 0.9200 0.9200 $0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? 0 158.54 0.3400 0.3400 $0
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? 0 155.00 0.2600 0.2600 $0
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? 1 153.66 0.9200 0.9200 $0
US strike on Cuba by December 31? 1 151.50 0.6200 0.6200 $0
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day? 0 140.72 0.0050 0.0050 $0
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? 0 136.80 0.9300 0.9300 $0
GTA 6 launch postponed again? 0 136.49 0.2600 0.2600 $0
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? 1 133.22 0.6100 0.6100 $0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026? 1 129.87 0.0110 0.0110 $0
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? 1 126.79 0.9310 0.9310 $0
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? 1 124.03 0.9000 0.9000 $0
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29? 1 114.51 0.9200 0.9200 $0
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? 0 112.93 0.8900 0.8900 $0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? 1 112.22 0.0500 0.0500 $0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? 1 100.00 0.4500 0.4500 $0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? 0 100.00 0.5100 0.5100 $0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? 0 97.51 0.0700 0.0700 $0
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? 1 94.95 0.8300 0.8300 $0
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? 0 93.20 0.3700 0.3700 $0
Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? 0 92.39 0.0400 0.0400 $0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? 0 76.59 0.2300 0.2300 $0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? 0 72.79 0.8900 0.8900 $0
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? 0 66.00 0.5300 0.5300 $0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? 0 64.01 0.0500 0.0500 $0
Fed rate hike in 2026? 1 58.45 0.8500 0.8500 $0
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0 54.00 0.3500 0.3500 $0
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO d… 0 46.91 0.0010 0.0010 $0
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? 1 40.54 0.0480 0.0480 $0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? 0 34.44 0.6500 0.6500 $0
Tim Walz in jail by December 31? 1 30.03 0.9200 0.9200 $0
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? 0 29.89 0.0900 0.0900 $0
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026? 1 27.37 0.0500 0.0500 $0
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day? 1 24.86 0.9510 0.9510 $0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? 1 20.08 0.0700 0.0700 $0
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? 0 14.00 0.0450 0.0450 $0
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? 1 13.00 0.6700 0.6700 $0
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO d… 1 9.56 0.9710 0.9710 $0
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? 1 9.10 0.8900 0.8900 $0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? 0 7.72 0.8950 0.8950 $0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? 1 6.30 0.7700 0.7700 $0
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? 0 5.49 0.0900 0.0900 $0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? 0 5.00 0.0400 0.0400 $0
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? 1 2.56 0.2200 0.2200 $0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? 1 0.70 0.0600 0.0600 $0

Recent trades

WhenMarketSideOutcomePriceSizeUSDC
2026-04-29 08:32 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? BUY No 0.9000 10.00 $9
2026-04-29 08:25 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? SELL No 0.9710 2.06 $1.00
2026-04-29 08:10 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? BUY No 0.9000 10.00 $9
2026-04-29 08:10 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 15.00 $3.30
2026-04-29 08:09 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? BUY No 0.9000 20.00 $18
2026-04-29 08:07 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? BUY No 0.9000 40.00 $36
2026-04-29 07:59 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? SELL No 0.9710 32037.16 $31,108.08
2026-04-29 07:32 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? BUY No 0.9000 10.00 $9
2026-04-29 07:27 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? SELL No 0.9710 142.00 $137.88
2026-04-29 07:26 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? SELL No 0.9710 4949.00 $4,805.48
2026-04-29 07:10 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? SELL No 0.9710 1030.00 $1,000.13
2026-04-29 07:07 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? BUY Yes 0.7100 11.39 $8.18
2026-04-29 07:02 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? BUY No 0.9000 20.00 $18
2026-04-29 06:52 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? BUY No 0.9000 1878.59 $1,690.73
2026-04-29 06:37 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? SELL No 0.9710 111.02 $107.80
2026-04-29 05:43 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 0.53 $0.12
2026-04-29 05:25 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 9.09 $1.00
2026-04-29 04:58 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 5.00 $1.10
2026-04-29 04:57 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 9.09 $1.00
2026-04-29 03:51 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 9.09 $1.00
2026-04-29 03:45 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? SELL No 0.9710 350.00 $339.85
2026-04-29 03:38 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? SELL No 0.9710 10.30 $9.00
2026-04-29 03:27 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? SELL No 0.9710 1272.98 $1,236.06
2026-04-29 03:21 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? BUY Yes 0.7000 30.07 $21.05
2026-04-29 02:55 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? BUY No 0.9416 990.15 $934.50
2026-04-29 02:31 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 204.55 $44.00
2026-04-29 02:26 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 56.68 $12.47
2026-04-29 02:26 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 6.82 $1.50
2026-04-29 02:26 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 6.82 $1.50
2026-04-29 02:25 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 6.82 $1.50
2026-04-29 02:25 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 15.64 $3.44
2026-04-29 02:25 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 22.73 $4.00
2026-04-29 02:25 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 0.2200 20889.18 $4,595.62
2026-04-29 02:25 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 0.2700 55.56 $15
2026-04-29 02:24 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? BUY No 0.7700 6.30 $4.85
2026-04-29 02:22 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.2200 22934.28 $5,045.54
2026-04-29 02:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 0.2700 3.00 $0.81
2026-04-29 02:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 0.2700 1.90 $0.51
2026-04-29 02:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 0.2700 34.65 $9.36
2026-04-29 02:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 0.2700 39.45 $10.65
2026-04-29 02:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 0.2700 813.00 $219.51
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 4.54 $1.23
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 4.54 $1.23
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 1.37 $0.37
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 0.42 $0.11
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 4.54 $1.23
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 1.37 $0.37
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 30.76 $8.31
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 16.52 $4.46
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 1.88 $0.51
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 27.97 $7.55
2026-04-29 02:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 0.2700 17203.85 $4,645.04
2026-04-29 02:21 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 5.24 $1.99
2026-04-29 02:21 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 53.23 $20.23
2026-04-29 02:14 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the … BUY No 0.8800 310.94 $273.63
2026-04-29 02:14 Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY Yes 0.0150 560.00 $8.40
2026-04-29 02:14 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY Yes 0.1800 1000.00 $180
2026-04-29 02:14 Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY Yes 0.0150 552.91 $8.29
2026-04-29 02:13 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the … BUY No 0.8800 1189.06 $1,046.37
2026-04-29 02:13 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY Yes 0.1800 838.44 $150.92
2026-04-29 02:10 Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY Yes 0.0150 550.00 $8.25
2026-04-29 02:09 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL Yes 0.6550 89.13 $58.38
2026-04-29 02:08 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.2200 64.10 $14.10
2026-04-29 02:08 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 5279.31 $3,114.79
2026-04-29 02:05 Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.1200 20.00 $2.40
2026-04-29 02:05 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 200.00 $118
2026-04-29 01:59 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet… BUY No 0.0700 10.00 $0.70
2026-04-29 01:55 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? BUY Yes 0.3700 93.20 $34.48
2026-04-29 01:50 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY Yes 0.3400 1.52 $0.52
2026-04-29 01:49 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 2.44 $1.44
2026-04-29 01:39 US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY No 0.6200 100.00 $62
2026-04-29 01:34 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL Yes 0.4350 10000.00 $4,350
2026-04-29 01:29 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 2.44 $1.44
2026-04-29 01:29 Obama federally charged before 2027? BUY No 0.9010 199.99 $180.19
2026-04-29 01:29 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 118.90 $70.15
2026-04-29 01:20 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.2200 1.28 $0.28
2026-04-29 01:20 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.2200 1282.05 $282.05
2026-04-29 01:19 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet… BUY No 0.0700 31.57 $2.21
2026-04-29 01:18 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 10000.00 $3,800
2026-04-29 01:18 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 7.37 $2.80
2026-04-29 01:15 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.2200 25.81 $5.68
2026-04-29 01:11 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 12.20 $7.20
2026-04-29 01:10 Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.0500 10.58 $0.53
2026-04-29 01:08 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.2200 16.52 $3.63
2026-04-29 01:05 US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY No 0.6200 51.50 $31.93
2026-04-29 01:05 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? BUY No 0.8700 115.38 $100.38
2026-04-29 01:03 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 0.6100 104.49 $63.74
2026-04-29 01:02 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 70.00 $41.30
2026-04-29 01:01 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL Yes 0.6550 21010.95 $13,762.17
2026-04-29 01:01 Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.0500 5.22 $0.26
2026-04-29 01:00 Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.0500 115.29 $5.76
2026-04-29 01:00 Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.1200 115.30 $13.84
2026-04-29 01:00 Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? BUY No 0.2200 2.56 $0.56
2026-04-29 00:59 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet… BUY No 0.0700 20.00 $1.40
2026-04-29 00:58 Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.1200 34.70 $4.16
2026-04-29 00:58 Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.0500 34.71 $1.74
2026-04-29 00:54 Iran leadership change by December 31? BUY Yes 0.3900 52.00 $20.28
2026-04-29 00:50 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 5.24 $1.99
2026-04-29 00:50 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 53.23 $20.23
2026-04-29 00:50 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 7.32 $4.32
2026-04-29 00:46 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? BUY No 0.8700 249.62 $217.17
2026-04-29 00:46 Fed rate hike in 2026? BUY No 0.8500 58.45 $49.68
2026-04-29 00:46 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? BUY No 0.0400 358.34 $14.33
2026-04-29 00:45 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet… BUY No 0.0700 7.53 $0.53
2026-04-29 00:43 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.2200 5.08 $1.12
2026-04-29 00:40 Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.1200 87.54 $10.50
2026-04-29 00:39 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.6500 31.60 $20.54
2026-04-29 00:39 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 4.88 $2.88
2026-04-29 00:37 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Ju… BUY No 0.0700 21.22 $1.49
2026-04-29 00:35 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? BUY No 0.9610 43949.74 $42,235.70
2026-04-29 00:33 Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026? BUY No 0.9360 750.00 $702
2026-04-29 00:33 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet… BUY No 0.0700 500.00 $35
2026-04-29 00:33 Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.9310 750.00 $698.25
2026-04-29 00:30 Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal R… BUY No 0.0550 750.00 $41.25
2026-04-29 00:29 Iran leadership change by December 31? BUY Yes 0.3900 13.34 $5.20
2026-04-29 00:26 Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.0500 1000.00 $50
2026-04-29 00:26 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? BUY No 0.0400 41.66 $1.67
2026-04-29 00:24 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 12.05 $7.11
2026-04-29 00:21 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 0.6100 31.04 $18.93
2026-04-29 00:21 Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0.0800 222.00 $17.76
2026-04-29 00:14 Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.0500 685.00 $34.25
2026-04-29 00:14 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 50.00 $19
2026-04-29 00:11 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 0.15 $0.09
2026-04-29 00:11 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 31.92 $18.83
2026-04-29 00:11 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? BUY No 0.9400 100.00 $94
2026-04-29 00:10 Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? BUY Yes 0.2600 155.00 $40.30
2026-04-29 00:08 Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026? BUY No 0.9988 5037.58 $5,031.77
2026-04-29 00:07 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 4.91 $1.96
2026-04-29 00:03 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY Yes 0.2000 403.93 $80.79
2026-04-29 00:02 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 5.26 $2.10
2026-04-29 00:01 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY No 0.8200 262.17 $214.98
2026-04-28 23:59 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 41.67 $16.67
2026-04-28 23:53 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 0.6100 2.56 $1.56
2026-04-28 23:47 Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY Yes 0.0500 1393.04 $71.64
2026-04-28 23:46 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 26.79 $15.81
2026-04-28 23:44 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? BUY Yes 0.7300 750.00 $547.50
2026-04-28 23:44 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 0.6100 79.98 $48.79
2026-04-28 23:43 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 0.6100 604.70 $368.87
2026-04-28 23:43 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 11.38 $4.55
2026-04-28 23:39 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29? BUY No 0.9200 64.51 $59.35
2026-04-28 23:37 GTA 6 launch postponed again? BUY Yes 0.2600 135.14 $35.14
2026-04-28 23:34 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 10.00 $5.90
2026-04-28 23:29 Starmer out by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0.6600 25000.00 $16,500
2026-04-28 23:27 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 119.04 $47.62
2026-04-28 23:26 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? BUY No 0.8900 9.10 $8.10
2026-04-28 23:26 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? BUY Yes 0.4500 17.85 $8.03
2026-04-28 23:25 Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? BUY No 0.6700 13.00 $8.71
2026-04-28 23:24 Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? BUY No 0.8100 2555.00 $2,069.55
2026-04-28 23:19 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 650.00 $383.50
2026-04-28 23:15 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 4.88 $2.88
2026-04-28 23:11 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 2.44 $1.44
2026-04-28 23:10 No one announced as next James Bond? BUY No 0.2600 270.27 $72.87
2026-04-28 23:08 James Norton announced as next James Bond? BUY No 0.9098 475.91 $434.92
2026-04-28 23:04 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? BUY Yes 0.1700 200.00 $34
2026-04-28 23:03 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? BUY Yes 0.1700 104.76 $17.81
2026-04-28 23:02 Will Trump and Putin not meet? BUY Yes 0.8980 2090.88 $1,877.61
2026-04-28 23:01 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.2200 104.54 $22.00
2026-04-28 23:01 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 202.88 $119.70
2026-04-28 23:00 Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0.0800 53.22 $4.26
2026-04-28 22:59 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 13.51 $5.40
2026-04-28 22:59 Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0.0800 100.00 $8
2026-04-28 22:57 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 24.39 $9.27
2026-04-28 22:57 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 3.94 $2.32
2026-04-28 22:57 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY Yes 0.3400 118.00 $40.12
2026-04-28 22:52 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 7.73 $2.94
2026-04-28 22:51 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 0.3800 5.55 $2.11
2026-04-28 22:50 Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN? BUY No 0.3100 1.59 $0.49
2026-04-28 22:50 Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN? BUY No 0.3100 300.00 $93
2026-04-28 22:50 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet… BUY No 0.0700 37.29 $2.61
2026-04-28 22:50 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet… BUY No 0.0700 37.29 $2.61
2026-04-28 22:39 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 200.00 $80
2026-04-28 22:38 GTA 6 launch postponed again? BUY Yes 0.2600 1.35 $0.35
2026-04-28 22:31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 4.15 $2.45
2026-04-28 22:30 Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? BUY No 0.9900 2645.91 $2,620.76
2026-04-28 22:29 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 8.40 $3.36
2026-04-28 22:29 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? BUY Yes 0.4000 5520.61 $2,208.24
2026-04-28 22:18 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 100.00 $40
2026-04-28 22:17 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 20.00 $8
2026-04-28 22:16 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? BUY No 0.9691 1398.42 $1,357.26
2026-04-28 22:16 Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? BUY No 0.9480 1060.00 $1,007.49
2026-04-28 22:16 Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? BUY No 0.9390 1043.00 $982.36
2026-04-28 22:16 Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? BUY No 0.9378 2160.00 $2,032.02
2026-04-28 22:15 No one announced as next James Bond? BUY Yes 0.7100 2050.00 $1,476.60
2026-04-28 22:12 Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN? BUY No 0.3100 2.90 $0.90
2026-04-28 22:12 Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN? BUY No 0.3100 1.45 $0.45
2026-04-28 22:11 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? BUY No 0.8500 399.99 $339.99
2026-04-28 22:09 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra… BUY No 0.4000 9.72 $3.89
2026-04-28 22:08 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? BUY Yes 0.4000 1.67 $0.67
2026-04-28 22:05 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? BUY Yes 0.5300 66.00 $34.98
2026-04-28 22:03 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? BUY No 0.4500 100.00 $45
2026-04-28 22:02 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 0.0220 53.00 $1.17
2026-04-28 22:00 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? BUY Yes 0.4000 50.00 $20
2026-04-28 21:59 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? BUY No 0.6100 133.22 $82.21
2026-04-28 21:58 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 0.0220 47.61 $1.05
2026-04-28 21:58 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? BUY No 0.4212 907.06 $393.09
2026-04-28 21:55 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? BUY Yes 0.5100 100.00 $52.25
2026-04-28 21:54 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Ju… BUY No 0.0700 186.71 $13.68
2026-04-28 21:54 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? BUY No 0.2300 250.00 $57.50
2026-04-28 21:53 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29? BUY No 0.9200 50.00 $46.15
2026-04-28 21:49 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 0.5900 400.00 $236