Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4
open
ends Dec 31 2026
4
68
$1,513,623.11
$29,579.83

Per-wallet realized PnL on this market

Wallet 30d PnL (overall) Trades on market Volume Net YES shares Net NO shares Realized on market
YatSen $52,994.28 34 $1,490,424.11 -268090.99 1032182.06 $29,412.48
0x8dxd $175 30 $22,938.31 204.82 0.00 $175
risk-manager $2,395.14 1 $0.36 5.36 0.00 $0
0x19FC25a4fD4a90A190Cf95… $81,391.22 3 $260.33 0.01 0.00 -$7.66

Recent trades

WhenWalletSideOutcomePriceSizeUSDC
04-29 03:09 YatSen SELL No 0.9340 177787.28 $166,053.32
04-29 03:09 0x8dxd SELL Yes 0.0660 174732.89 $11,532.37
04-29 02:52 0x8dxd SELL Yes 0.0660 267.11 $17.63
04-29 02:16 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 15000.00 $975
04-29 01:53 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 10000.00 $650
04-29 00:02 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.10 $0.01
04-29 00:02 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.02 $0
04-29 00:02 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.18 $0.01
04-29 00:02 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 15752.70 $1,023.93
04-29 00:02 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.10 $0.01
04-29 00:02 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.17 $0.01
04-28 23:43 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 1.07 $0.07
04-28 23:34 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 5.35 $0.35
04-28 22:57 0x19FC25a4fD4a90A190Cf… SELL Yes 0.0660 1914.19 $126.34
04-28 22:54 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 132.02 $8.58
04-28 22:54 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 115.94 $7.54
04-28 22:51 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.46 $0.03
04-28 22:50 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 12.98 $0.84
04-28 22:50 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.17 $0.01
04-28 22:50 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.04 $0
04-28 22:50 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.04 $0
04-28 22:50 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.04 $0
04-28 22:50 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.04 $0
04-28 22:48 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 20.44 $1.33
04-28 22:48 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 3.79 $0.25
04-28 22:48 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 2.52 $0.16
04-28 22:48 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 16.70 $1.09
04-28 22:47 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 2.53 $0.16
04-28 22:45 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 3.82 $0.25
04-28 22:44 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 3.76 $0.24
04-28 22:39 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 0.37 $0.02
04-28 22:21 0x8dxd BUY Yes 0.0650 134129.47 $8,718.42
04-28 22:00 risk-manager BUY Yes 0.0680 5.36 $0.36
04-28 20:56 0x19FC25a4fD4a90A190Cf… BUY Yes 0.0700 5.38 $0.38
04-28 20:47 0x19FC25a4fD4a90A190Cf… BUY Yes 0.0700 1908.82 $133.62
04-28 18:33 YatSen BUY No 0.9280 564.28 $523.65
04-28 18:33 YatSen BUY No 0.9274 400820.05 $371,740.27
04-28 18:33 YatSen BUY No 0.9280 27.78 $25.78
04-28 18:32 YatSen BUY No 0.9248 449935.30 $416,113.16
04-28 18:32 YatSen BUY No 0.9250 52.23 $48.32
04-28 14:55 YatSen SELL No 0.9240 56169.20 $51,900.34
04-24 11:08 YatSen SELL No 0.9240 10985.65 $10,150.74
04-21 04:21 YatSen SELL No 0.9222 33586.50 $30,972.69
04-18 12:57 YatSen SELL Yes 0.0800 98657.91 $7,892.63
04-15 13:02 YatSen SELL Yes 0.0860 25884.11 $2,226.03
04-11 03:34 YatSen BUY No 0.9138 136666.68 $124,882.32
04-09 04:34 YatSen BUY No 0.9119 50609.79 $46,151.06
04-08 01:04 YatSen SELL Yes 0.0910 1926.38 $175.30
04-08 00:57 YatSen SELL Yes 0.0910 8046.03 $732.19
04-06 08:13 YatSen SELL Yes 0.0870 49713.20 $4,325.05
04-05 15:46 YatSen BUY No 0.9128 28575.98 $26,084.93
04-05 12:47 YatSen BUY No 0.9050 30000.00 $27,150
04-03 10:55 YatSen BUY No 0.9167 155555.00 $142,591.61
03-28 17:32 YatSen BUY No 0.9011 26666.00 $24,028.62
03-28 04:07 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1060 103.08 $10.93
03-28 04:06 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1060 3164.90 $335.48
03-27 10:47 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1006 53259.74 $5,355.39
03-25 09:02 YatSen BUY No 0.8947 31237.60 $27,947.38
03-22 03:58 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 177.81 $19.56
03-22 03:53 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 5819.32 $640.13
03-22 03:01 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 61.92 $6.81
03-22 01:52 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 337.31 $37.10
03-21 21:01 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 65.00 $7.15
03-21 20:58 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 27.27 $2.00
03-21 20:56 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 45.45 $4.00
03-21 20:55 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 18.18 $1.00
03-21 20:54 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 5944.20 $653.86
03-21 14:15 YatSen SELL Yes 0.1100 14839.17 $1,632.31