Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

0xd4d00e5bf8b960cc37c74c1ec19e41e00b0706add203ddcfbb65ad006c5c223a
view on polymarket.com →
open
ends Apr 29 2026
6
294
$993,503.67
$2,175.25

Per-wallet realized PnL on this market

Wallet 30d PnL (overall) Trades on market Volume Net YES shares Net NO shares Realized on market
risk-manager $2,395.14 77 $1,206.73 -603365.69 0.00 $1,206.73
Pestle $94,713.56 43 $969,391.68 -190085.06 970849.77 $570.25
LordofPM $2,094.38 31 $394.99 -398263.42 0.00 $398.26
debased $95,435.34 12 $21,998.60 0.00 0.00 $0
Viic26 $6.94 4 $277.58 67476.77 0.00 $0
XAE12Archangel $15,538.13 127 $234.09 209275.54 0.00 $0

Recent trades

WhenWalletSideOutcomePriceSizeUSDC
04-29 09:37 XAE12Archangel SELL Yes 0.0010 10.21 $0.01
04-29 09:34 XAE12Archangel SELL Yes 0.0010 87.08 $0.09
04-29 09:27 XAE12Archangel SELL Yes 0.0010 5000.00 $5
04-29 09:26 XAE12Archangel SELL Yes 0.0010 5000.00 $5
04-29 09:21 XAE12Archangel SELL Yes 0.0010 2308.64 $2.31
04-29 09:21 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 2691.36 $2.69
04-29 09:21 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 25000.00 $25
04-29 09:20 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 340.33 $0.34
04-29 09:18 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 86.17 $0.09
04-29 09:14 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 1000.00 $1
04-29 09:10 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 27.05 $0.03
04-29 09:08 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 1000.00 $1
04-29 09:08 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 1000.00 $1
04-29 08:57 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 5000.00 $5
04-29 08:48 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 19000.00 $19
04-29 08:45 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 1000.00 $1
04-29 08:43 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 95000.00 $95
04-29 08:43 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 1000.00 $1
04-29 08:42 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 20.18 $0.02
04-29 08:33 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 9950.00 $9.95
04-29 08:26 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 1000.00 $1
04-29 08:23 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 25000.00 $25
04-29 08:20 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 40000.00 $40
04-29 08:18 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 25000.00 $25
04-29 08:16 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 50000.00 $50
04-29 08:15 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 3000.00 $3
04-29 08:14 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 3000.00 $3
04-29 08:13 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 6000.00 $6
04-29 08:12 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 481.00 $0.48
04-29 08:07 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 5000.00 $5
04-29 07:51 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 192.38 $0.19
04-29 07:39 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 1000.00 $1
04-29 07:39 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 10000.00 $10
04-29 07:26 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 41.37 $0.04
04-29 07:26 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 958.63 $0.96
04-29 07:09 LordofPM SELL Yes 0.0010 65474.95 $62.20
04-29 07:09 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 54243.50 $54.24
04-29 07:09 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 12500.00 $25
04-29 07:07 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 121.12 $0.12
04-29 07:04 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 140.14 $0.14
04-29 07:02 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 136.14 $0.14
04-29 07:01 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 109.11 $0.11
04-29 07:01 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 116.12 $0.12
04-29 07:01 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 174.17 $0.17
04-29 07:01 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 151.15 $0.15
04-29 07:01 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 129.13 $0.13
04-29 06:59 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 131.13 $0.13
04-29 06:58 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 337.34 $0.34
04-29 06:52 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 500.00 $1
04-29 06:50 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 107.11 $0.11
04-29 06:49 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 109.11 $0.11
04-29 06:48 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 15750.00 $31.50
04-29 06:48 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 105.11 $0.11
04-29 06:47 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 5000.00 $10
04-29 06:45 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 119.12 $0.12
04-29 06:37 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 1000.00 $1
04-29 06:35 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 105.11 $0.11
04-29 06:33 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 120.12 $0.12
04-29 06:32 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 2500.00 $5
04-29 06:31 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 146.15 $0.15
04-29 06:29 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 1000.00 $2
04-29 06:20 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 500.00 $1
04-29 06:17 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 340.34 $0.34
04-29 06:15 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 105.11 $0.11
04-29 06:12 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 142.14 $0.14
04-29 06:10 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 116.12 $0.12
04-29 06:04 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 17500.00 $35
04-29 06:02 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 143.14 $0.14
04-29 06:00 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 133.12 $0.27
04-29 06:00 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 123.11 $0.25
04-29 06:00 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 94.09 $0.09
04-29 05:58 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 143.14 $0.14
04-29 05:57 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 1000.00 $2
04-29 05:56 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 98.10 $0.10
04-29 05:56 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 100.10 $0.10
04-29 05:56 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 105.11 $0.11
04-29 05:56 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 2.00 $0
04-29 05:55 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 2.70 $0
04-29 05:55 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 2.40 $0
04-29 05:55 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 2.70 $0
04-29 05:54 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 2.50 $0
04-29 05:50 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 165.16 $0.17
04-29 05:50 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 21.50 $0.02
04-29 05:49 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 113.11 $0.11
04-29 05:48 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 750.00 $1.50
04-29 05:47 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 175.18 $0.18
04-29 05:45 risk-manager SELL Yes 0.0020 1990.00 $3.98
04-29 05:41 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 47.04 $0.05
04-29 05:41 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 58.85 $0.06
04-29 05:38 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 100.10 $0.10
04-29 05:37 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 76.08 $0.08
04-29 05:37 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 60.05 $0.06
04-29 05:37 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 60.06 $0.06
04-29 05:36 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 43.16 $0.04
04-29 05:36 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 95.09 $0.10
04-29 05:35 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 139.14 $0.14
04-29 05:35 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 82.28 $0.08
04-29 05:35 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 97.10 $0.10
04-29 05:35 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 119.72 $0.12
04-29 05:33 XAE12Archangel BUY Yes 0.0010 133.12 $0.13